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Showing posts from March, 2017

Understand to differentiate the Mount climbing & the Ball bouncing.

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Some stocks move like climbing the mount and some stocks movements are a ball bouncing nature.

When understanding the difference that makes difference. 





Investors in that order...

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Pond heron with Big Fish  and  Big Fish with Small Fish

Last 10 years interest in the IPO

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RELIANCE ? Even after 3 decades, Old habits never die.

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Market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India has imposed a Rs 1,000-crore penalty on Reliance Industries Ltd., the largest in its over 20-year history. In a case dating back to 2007, SEBI has found Reliance Industries and 12 related entities guilty of fraudulent and manipulative trades. The SEBI order, published on its website on March 24, 2017, says Reliance Industries and the 12 other entities violated provisions of Section 12A of the SEBI Act, 1992 and SEBI (Prohibition of Fraudulent and Unfair Trade Practices relating to the securities market) Regulations, 2003. The regulator has prohibited the 13 entities, including Reliance Industries, “from dealing in equity derivatives in the F&O segment of the stock exchange, directly or indirectly for a period of one year”, from the date of the order. The regulator has also directed Reliance Industries to, “to disgorge an amount of Rs 447.27 crore...along with interest calculated at the rate of 12 percent per annum from Novem…

A rare meeting

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 Benjamin Graham & Jesse Livermore met recently and both were satisfied with a stock in their respective criteria.

***

Below is the chart of that stock (name and price purposely erased) 

RAYMOND

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RAYMOND (656) -  Brought to this place after 10 years.  Ought to be double before 10 months.  Unwritten  Rule.



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Hint was given, already, last year itself,  not one time but two times

Post dated 20th Sept. 2016: 
  A fabric symphony

and  post dated 20th Oct. 2016:  
Made to Measure


WALMART vs DMART

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INDIA and Rest of the World

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Now We are in the 7th Position  but the status of the Third position is striking distance only. That is not enough,  The aim, be First, even it may be little longer.  We Can & We Will.
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Top Twenty

FOLLY GAMES - ENERGYDEV

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NIFTY - Mega & Mini

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NIFTY (9085)-
What was panned out between 2008---2014  can be called  as MEGA
When it came "Out of the box" after 6 Years - yielded  3000 points 

What is panning out between 2015-2017   can be called as MINI
In case, if it comes "Out of the box" after 2 years - may yield 1500 points.


FOLLY GAMES - SUNILHITEC

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FOLLY GAMES - MAHASTEEL

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USD/INR

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BOVESPA vs SENSEX

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BOVESPA BRAZIL - YEAR CHART





SENSEX INDIA - YEAR CHART 





ESCORTS - more than 350 % in less than 14 months.

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ESCORTS (509.65) - Posted on 28th Aug. 2015, when it was at 171,  Said  SUPPORT  110--100 and  said ULTIMATE UPSIDE TARGET 510--530 Click Here to see that post. 

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After this post, it came down to 112.80  on 12th Feb 2016 and 
yesterday, 10th March 2017 made high 517.70.

That means more than 350 % absolute return within 14 months. 

This was one of the rare ones as per my study of 
PRICE,PATTERN, VOLUME & VALUE
and worked out well. 
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Now, climax & finishing touch stage. 
What next? 
that was also answered in my Twitter  dated 05th March 2017.
ESCORTS - Enterprise Value 4 K Cr & present Mar.Cap 6 K Cr.
My perception : Won't go beyond a billion $ Mar.Cap. in the present context. — Murugavel (@murugavell) March 5, 2017





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Can see it,  in the below monthly chart. 



BEST & REST

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RABITS vs TORTOISE

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Four stocks (ARVIND,ESCORTS,TVSMOTOR &VOLTAS). had broken out in the same period (between 2013 last quarter to 2014 first quarter)  and almost same price (between 85--95) .

At that time of 2014 beginning, I had a conviction  that all the four will reach sub 500 in the medium term perspective

After 3 years, now this is the period to learn a lesson from the above presumption,

Out of four, three stocks moved rabbit like move but not able to reach the sub 500 level till now.

But ESCORTS moved  like tortoise and now at sub 500 level. 


So the lesson is whoever moved fast at the beginning, they may become tired in the middle of the journey itself  before reaching the expected  destination .








NIFTY 50 vs NIFTY 100,200 & 500

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In Feb. 2017 month, NIFTY 100, NIFTY 200 & NIFTY 500 all the three closed on the month basis above the 2015 March high,only exception NIFTY 50



NIFTY - revisit & review

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NIFTY (8900) -  Said on post dated 01st Jan 2017,  "In this year of 2017, the range will be between 7200-6800  in downside and  8600-9000 in the upside.Probably both end we will see in 2017.In case if it violates either one of the above then we may relook the present set up until then this will be the broad range. "


So, as per the above view, this year upside range 8600---9000,  yesterday high 8992  and closed at 8900.  that means,now the upside range fully completed and apart from it, got some more signals & waiting few more that don't want to elaborate here.  it seems, as such, Topped out @ 8992.

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As long as stays between 8600-9000, considering as topping range. But in case , break above this range then
 9000-9200 will become  || neutral || make or break || to be or not to be ||
But above that 
next in upside 10400  and afterwards 11400. 





DJI 30 vs NIFTY 50

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DJI 30  now near to mature between 21300+ to 21900+ 

 Cause & Effect of  break out of both 2008 High & 2015 High





NIFTY 50  When will it start its journey towards to  mature? 
now  9100+ crucial.
"break out" - to be or not to be