Posts

BEML - already 10 X done & now need another 10 X

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BEML (1547) - This is one among of the best stock, behaving perfectly & repeatedly, from the very first post dated 11th June 2012, since then, gave 4 follow-up post and that was also summarized in the post dated 30th June 2014 *** Please click the below link to see the summarized post, dated 30th June 2014  http://www.murugavel.com/2014/06/beml_28.html *** As per post dated 05th Oct 2013, Perfectly and repeatedly  took support at the mentioned support level of 166 in the whole month of Oct. 2013,  from there,  already it made high 1612 on July 2015  and corrected up to 771 on Nov 2016 and now trading at 1547.  So already it has done 10 X  (from 166 in Oct. 2013  to 1612 in July 2015  that means within 2 years) But our UTMOST ULTIMATE UPSIDE TARGET 3550-3650 Whenever it reaches this target,  it will be a 20 X performer, of the mentioned support level of 166...

Jack Ma,very shortly going to add another $ 7 billion to his net worth , apart from the latest $2.8 billion in a day

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Jack Ma’s net worth surged $2.8 billion overnight as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast sales growth that topped every analyst’s estimate, despite China’s decelerating economy.  Shares in Alibaba, where Ma is chairman, rose 13% to a record high. Ma, 52, is now the richest person in Asia and 14th wealthiest in the world , according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. His net worth has climbed $8.5 billion this year to $41.8 billion. The latest surge came after China’s largest e-commerce company forecast 45 to 49% revenue growth in the year ending March, demonstrating how investments beyond online shopping are paying off. Now the market cap is $ 344 Billion but shortly we will going to see over $ 450 Billion. *** Last month it closed above the breakout level of $ 120 and now @ $139.44  but the target price for the breakout is  $180--185

Nothing but PRICE & TIME observation

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VISAKAIND (410.85)  It moved up from 188 to 413 in less than 9 months. It has not happened in the past, more than, 10 years,  now happened in less than 10 months.  WHY? When PRICE & TIME converge then only it happen.  *** The following is the today's mail content regarding VISAKAIND to my annual members: "Yesterday made high 413.85 (said target 410--420)  so from 188 to 413 that means 120% absolute within 9 months  just remembering, what was said on 30th Aug.2016, when it was @ 188 "Very much undervalued stock,  Time has come to perform.  Ought to be powerful." In the last 9 months price performance proved it right. now the market giving the value justification.  still not matured  trade above 410-420 target further extends to 455--465." ------------------------------------------------------------------ Can see in the below cha...

BANK NIFTY - a review

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Before seeing the below chart with our marking,   see the post titled "BANKNIFTY - macro view"  which was posted on 25th Feb. 2017  First target & resist of around 23500 now nearing. eventual ULTIMATE 28400 is due. 

Balaji Amines

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BALAMINES -  From 58 to 400 in three years.  Double booster:  If one attempt failed and if it took more time to reattempt, then the second attempt will be more powerful and sustainable. that is what this stock price behaviour teaches us. If find out any stock behaves similarly then don't forget this stock and its pattern. 

BOVESPA - 10 % fall in a single day

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Brazil markets plunge as Temer scandal threatens reforms

Indiabulls Real Estate

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IBREALEST  (171) - From 2008 High, value diminished by 95% in 2011. From 2016  Low, value appreciated by 300 % in 2017(so for). Now, it requires another 400% up move to regain 2008 high. Will it? *** Last Month, in a single day, best ever move happened in its life history.  It might be a trigger for a sustained up move.  Long way to go...

Public Sector Banks

PSB combined balance sheet size around 100 lac crores  Public Banks 2016 LOW 2017 HIGH L2H % NOW ATH  INDIANB 75.3 360.9 379 354.3 361 VIJAYABANK 28.2 97.4 245 87.6 115 PNB 69.25 185.8 168 169.15 280 CENTRALBK 47.9 123.25 157 114.6 217 ORIENTBANK 75.15 191 154 162.9 546 ALBK 39.4 92.4 135 89.95 272 PSB 31.65 72.3 128 64.85 147 SBIN 148.25 304.9 106 297.9 352 UNIONBANK 104 205.1 97 174.5 427 DENABANK 25.6 50.1 96 40.15 151 SYNDIBANK 49.4 95 92 89.7 180 BANKINDIA 105.75 197.2 86 178.85 589 UNITEDBNK 16.05 29.45 83 22.6 150 IDBI 47.25 86.4 83 75.5 202 MAHABANK 23.2 40.75 76 33.95 97 UCOBANK 26.8 44.75 67 41.7 152 ...

Understand the price behaviour

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 ENERGYDEV & SHILPI On 10th Feb, When I saw the price behaviour of  SHILPI, it reminded me the similar pattern of ENERGYDEV price behaviour, which was panned out in Sep-Nov 2016.  so I expected on that date itself, the same kind of fall will be going to happen in  SHILPI  also, sooner or later.  in fact, I sent an SMS to one of my people on that date.                                        (purposely erased name and mobile no.)  After 2 to 3  months later,  now it is happening.  Apart from everything, we must monitor the price and its behaviours to understand the forthcoming move.  If we observe deeply, we can identify Mostly, before a big move, either up or down, some signal will come in the price behaviour. .*** If not able to identify and in case, got tra...

Some Ideas can change

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Some Ideas are working out well during this last 12 months and still, they are performing tirelessly even after moved few X during this period *** Explore, like this, few more ideas can find out *** || ESCORTS || JAYBARMARU ||  JAYAGROGN || TIRUMALCHM ||

TURNING AROUND...

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-  this sector valuation may not be the same as seen in the last several years.  RBI tightens JLF rules, directs banks not to break any norms, threatens to impose penalties  Govt. cracks down on banking laggards with top 2 PSB demotions   Govt sees ordinance as a weapon to end banks’ paralysis over bad loans Onus on RBI as govt notifies new rules to tackle NPAs of banks

When something is built at scale, there will be points of view on that. - Nandan Nilekani

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How big a problem is the current situation with the lack of a privacy law? I’m very clear that India needs a very modern privacy and data-protection law. And I’ve been saying this far longer than most people. Sometime in May of 2010, I wrote to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh that we should have a privacy law. And I followed that up. I asked Rahul Matthan (partner at Trilegal and a Mint columnist) and he helped. He worked with the department of administrative reforms and came out with a draft law and subsequently there was a committee under Justice A.P. Shah, and one of my colleagues (at UIDAI) Ashok Pal Singh was a member of that committee. They contributed to the framing of the principles. The only issue I have with the current narrative is, why should Aadhaar be singled out as a reason for the law? The biggest privacy risk that you have is your smartphone. A billion people will have smartphones as we go forward, their conversations will be recorded, their messages will b...

ESCORTS vs JAYBARMARU

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In 2015, ESCORTS & JAYBARMARU were traded at the same price of around 140--160. Fortunately, between 2015-2017, both stocks behaved exactly as for as price behaviour and time frame concerned.  even though both stocks were handled by the different set of people. That is why apart from everything,  "monitor the price movement and go on study the price behaviours because human behaviours never change even after  decades and decades" Either study yourself  or associate who studying it  for mutual benefit. I am ready, Are you?  ------------- Both  made same low 112+ in Feb.2016 Both breakout above 180+ Now  ESCORTS @ 550 & JAYBARMARU @ 600 ------------------------------ Below chart shows that how the both behaved identically in 2015--2017

Different games on different courts

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R ajiv  Khanna once said about the investment strategy, "It all depends on the underlying market condition. Like in tennis you play different games on different courts — hard court, clay court and lawn, we also study the market situation and pick our stocks accordingly. It can be either a value stock, growth stock, momentum stock or buying based on technicals." He feels the market is  the most complex puzzle, "It's not the money, it's the challenge what is exciting. Money is just the outcome. And once you start to understand the game, making money is not difficult," he said. *** QTY NAME in Cr. 10208675 MANAPPURAM 96 238000 NILKAMAL 47 3354046 NOCIL 33 426955 IFBIND 29 636313 SRIPIPES 25 477986 RSWM 20 2957280 DAAWAT 19 267108 TATAMETALI 18 180878 TIRUMALCHM 16 274371 DWARKESH 12 317702 ASIANTILES...

Sanwaria Agro Oils Ltd

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Sanwaria Agro first came into the spotlight in 2011 when brokerage and financial services firm Motilal Oswal ranked it alongside Reliance Industries and Kotak Mahindra Bank as one of the fastest wealth creators between 2006 and 2011.   (As reported in BUSINESS TODAY - Edition : Dec 22, 2013 ) What happened afterwards?  In 2011, it was peaked out at 146,  In 2016, It was bottomed out at 4 And now trading at 12+ (this month alone, so for, up by more than 50%) *** Now, what price & pattern says?  Last year bottom formed at 4  and now broken last three years high of 12.50 Is it in revival stage now? if so, long way to go...